MUMBAI, JULY 27: THE Reserve Bank of India (RBi) has raised its short term lending and borrowing rates by 0.25 per cent and 0.50 per cent, respectively, with a view to bringing inflation to six per cent by March 2011from the present double digit. But, the move will put pressure on banks’ interest rates.
The increase in short-term lending rate (repo) to 5.75 per centand short-term borrowing rate (reverse repe) to 4.5 per cent will be effective immediately.
In its monetary review put out on Tuesday the central bank, however , kept its cash reserve ratio (CRR) , the cash which banks are required to keep with RBI, unchanged.
RBI raised upwards the inflation target from 5.5 per cent to six per cent and said the economy would grow by 8.5 per cent, up from earlier projection of 8 per cent, this fiscal.
Earlier this month, RBI had hiked repo and reverse repo rates by 0.25 per cent as inflation remained above 10 per cent for the fifth month in succession, Priorto this, RBI had raised thrice its key rates, since January.
The Monetary Policy intends to:
*Contain inflation and anchor inflationary expectations, while being prepared to respond to any further build up of inflationary pressures.
*Maintain an interest rate regime consistent with price, output and financial stability.
*Actively manage liquidity to ensure that it remains broadly in balance so that excess liquidity does not dilute the effectiveness of policy rate actions.
Taking into account the progress of monsoon so far and the prevailing global macroeconomic scenario, for policy purposes, the baseline projection of real GDP growth for 2010-11 has been revised to 8.5 per cent, up from 8 per cent with an upside bias as indicated in April 2010 policy statement.
This upward revision is primarily based on better industrial production and its favourable impact on the services sector, giving due consid eration to the global scenario.
Revising upwards the GDP target for this fiscal, RBI said that indications are that the economy is steadily reverting to its pre-crisis growth trajectory.
However, uncertainty over global recovery could have possible adverse consequences for the country, the apex bank said.
If the global recovery slows down, it will affect all emerging market economies, including India, through the exports, financing and confidence channels, RBI, said.
A global slowdown also carries the significant risk of a potential slowdown in capital inflows, it said, adding that it may act as constraint to domestic investment.
In another significant move, RBI said it would now undertake mid-quarterly policy reviews, on the lines of major central banks abroad, “to take the surprise element out of the off-cycle actions.”
These reviews will be conducted at intervals of about a month and -a-half, after each quarterly review, RBI said.