Feb
26
2010
A WISHLIST FOR EXPORTS
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The Economic Survey has suggested a further stimulus boost for exports despite the global economic recovery.
“… While the global recession seems to be lifting, a note of caution is needed as recovery of trade is still vulnerable and fragile given the fact that it is mainly government support and policy driven… Besides, the turnaround in trade growth is largely due to the lower base effect of the last year (2008) which was in fact a lost year on the trade front as the progress in export sector of earlier years was mercilessly frittered away by the onslaugh of the global recession,” the survey said.
Even as the government hints at a gradual withdrawal of the stimulus packages, the survey suggested further reduction in excise for exportoriented industries. For the merchandise sector, it suggested fundamental policy changes that include more tariff reforms through lowering of peak duties (custom) from the current 10% to 7.5% Also, it sought reduction of trariffs on all capital goods to a uniform 3% and further reduction in excise duties to make exports and industry competitive.
The government had cut excise duty from 14% to 8% and service tax from 12% to 10% in the wake of the globalfinancial slowdown. India’s exports, after falling for 13 consecutive months since October 2008. turned positive from November 2009, But in April December period, exports were down by 20.3% .
The survey said the early signs of pick -up in out put , industrial and trade growth in India and other countries, are due to the low base and are even lower than the absolute values of the pre-crisis period.
“The downside risks for world and Indian trade lie in the fact that though the fall has been arrested, both output and trade recoveries are still fragile as recovery has been pumped up by stimulus by different countries including India, effects of which may dry up if natural recovery doesnt follow.”