New Delhi, Aug 19: Shipping lines operating half the world’s container vessels plan to raise Asia-US rates, ending a price war that contributed to industrywide losses. Falling demand and a flood of new vessels may stop them.
A group of 14 lines, including CMA CMG, Evergreen Marine and Neptune Orient Lines’ APL, agreed to raise rates by US$500 per 40-foot container starting this week.
The figure was a ‘voluntary guideline’, the transpacific Stabilization Agreement (TSA), said last month. The lines, now in the busiest period of the year, may have to settle for less as slumping traffic and empty ships let customers seek discounts.
‘Cargo volumes aren’t big enough’ to support the US$500 rise, said Bruce Tseng, a spokesman for Yang Ming Marine Transport, a TSA member.
The group wants to renegotiate contracts signed in the past few months to raise rates after the 10 largest listed container-shipping companies all posted losses. A similar attempt in April failed as lines competed for volumes to avoid costly ship lay-ups amid a roughly 20 pc drop in Asia-US$500 increase would leave rates at unprofitable levels and 30 pc lower than a year earlier, according to CMA CGM. Spot rates for shipping a container to Los Angeles from Hong Kong fell below US$900 last month. Container lines traditionally raise rates around the third quarter as shops stock up for the ‘ back to school’ and holiday shopping seasons.
This year, cargo-box trade is tumbling as retailers pare orders amid weak demand. US consumer spending fell a 1.2 pc pace in the second quarter. Inbound container volumes at the port of Los Angeles, the busiest in the US, fell 17 pc from a year earlier in june. ‘Discussions to move rates back up again are pretty tough,’said Ron Widdows, CEO, NOL.NYK, isn’t sure how many customers will accept the higher rates, said Suguru Uchida, a spokesman.
MSC, Evergreen Marine Corp, Asia’s biggest, and Hapag Lloyed AG, Germany’s biggest, declined to comment. The ships were or dered during a trade boom that ended last year. But the world Bank has forecast a 6.1 pc decline in global trade this year. New vessels are entering service even as a shortage of cargo forces lines to mothball existing ships in Singapore, Hong Kong and other ports across Asia. The capacity of the laid-up fleet will likely expand 66 pc by around year’s end to two million 20-foot containers.
Shipping lines are trying to drive up rates by with-drawing capacity. AP Moeller Maersk, CMA CGM and MSC agreed to combine two Asia-US services into one. A US$500 increase would leave rates ‘below minimum profitability’ because of the need to haul empty containers back to Asia from the US, said Jean-Philippe Thenoz, head of North American lines at CMA CGM. He added that the increase will stick as customers understand that it’s a ‘ necessity’ and because a US economic rebound will trigger an increase in demand. ‘There are already signs of a recovery in US consumption,’he said . ‘We ‘re very optimistic for the end of 2009 and for 2010.’